Are Earnings Expectations Overly Optimistic?

| Multi Asset

Are Earnings Expectations Overly Optimistic?

Across the S&P 500 companies, Q1 2019 earnings came out in line with the growth deceleration highlighted in our proprietary Growth Nowcasters: lower. Yet, as our chart shows, analysts are now expecting a rebound in earnings-per-share (EPS) and sales by year-end. However, for these expectations to become a reality, macro conditions would need to improve markedly. From our perspective, we are seeing signs of economic growth stabilisation around potential. While this is positive in the sense that recession risk has diminished, we do not yet see a re-acceleration of growth back to the levels seen in mid-2017 to mid-2018. For that, we have a long way to go.

Unigestion, based on Bloomberg data as at 3 May 2019.


Important Information

The information and data presented in this page may discuss general market activity or industry trends but is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice. It is not a financial promotion and represents no offer, solicitation or recommendation of any kind, to invest in the strategies or in the investment vehicles it refers to. Some of the investment strategies described or alluded to herein may be construed as high risk and not readily realisable investments, which may experience substantial and sudden losses including total loss of investment.

The investment views, economic and market opinions or analysis expressed in this page present Unigestion’s judgement as at the date of publication without regard to the date on which you may access the information. There is no guarantee that these views and opinions expressed will be correct nor do they purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets and developments referred to in it. All information provided here is subject to change without notice. To the extent that this page contains statements about the future, such statements are forward-looking and subject to a number of risks and uncertainties, including, but not limited to, the impact of competitive products, market acceptance risks and other risks.

Data and graphical information herein are for information only and may have been derived from third party sources. Although we believe that the information obtained from public and third party sources to be reliable, we have not independently verified it and we therefore cannot guarantee its accuracy or completeness. As a result, no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is or will be made by Unigestion in this respect and no responsibility or liability is or will be accepted. Unless otherwise stated, source is Unigestion.

Past performance is not a guide to future performance. All investments contain risks, including total loss for the investor.