Inflationary Pressures Have Continued to Ease
Recent global central bank meetings have revealed a common message: a weaker economic outlook and lower inflationary pressures justify a pause in the monetary policy normalisation process. In fact, our proprietary inflation Nowcaster for the US turned negative for the first time since 2017. Inflation expectations have remained steady, in the case of survey-based measures, or declined, in the case of market-based measures. For now, inflation seems to be the least of the Fed’s concerns and the FOMC’s more dovish stance is consistent with our own indicators: inflation no longer seems to be an issue.
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