Is Inflation Knocking on the Door?
The various fiscal stimulus packages implemented around the world have led to a „V“ shaped recovery and with it a faster-than-usual normalisation of inflation data. Our global inflation Nowcaster is clearly regaining ground, with 70% of its underlying data on the rise. Despite an only slight increase in energy prices, the speed of the economic recovery has been enough to give our inflation surprise indicator a boost. However, if the macro recovery continues, inflationary pressures should fall back into line.
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